
The US Industrial economy again eased off a tad last week (if pipeline scheduling is correct), while consumer spending continued to strengthen.
The Production Index (In terms of its 28-day moving average of gas-flow scheduling into US industrial facilities) put in its second down-week in a row, easing to 121.9 (vs last weeks 122.4). In its dailies (raw, non-seasonally adjusted flows) the week started soft but firmed as the week progressed.
The Consumption Index went the other way (having its third weekly gain in a row), gaining to 147.1 (from last weeks 145.9). In its dailies the week (as last week) looked soft in its raw (non-seasonally adjusted) numbers but benefited from seasonals.
The Inventories measure (the cumulative weekly difference between the Production Index and the Consumption Index) again continued in its long-term decline.
Overall, the recovery continues to appear strongly supported by elevated consumer-spending, an uncharacteristically-large lead in the Consumption Index over the Production Index, recent firmness in industrial gas-flow scheduling, and continuing declines in the Inventories measure.
-Robry825